A forecast this Friday morning showing a northeastern line of thunderstorms hitting Floyd in the afternoon was modified by the National Weather Service office in Blacksburg and now shows the stormed even further East, missing most of the county.
The original projected weather map showed the storms hitting around 3:20 p.m. but a revised map shows the line missing the county as the line ventures even further to the Northeast.
What, if anything, falls might be a short drizzle but no thunder or storms.
Such is the vague accuracy of weather forecasts. The original projection showed the percentage chance of rain peaking at 20 percent. At 1:30 p.m., the projection shows just five percent and dropping to 0 percent by 6 p.m.
Over the last two days, projections of precipitation for our area has dropped from 90 to 20 percent. Now it drops 15 percent more.
Forecasters expect sunshine just before sunset. From that point on, the chances of something wet falling from the sky is zero Saturday and Sunday, 10 percent on Monday the zero again for Tuesday and Wednesday and no more than 20 percent until the end of next week with highs in the 50s and 60s.
Roanoke Times weather guru Kevin Myatt sees at least a week of mostly dryness following today’s storms that may hit only part of Floyd County this afternoon.
Once the front does clear on Friday, we’ll get gusty westerly winds, some sunshine, and another of those kinda strange “warming behind the cold front” downslope-enhanced episodes when the temperatures make a run into the 60s. Generally, the front will return us to seasonable temperatures, 50s highs/20s-30s lows kind of stuff, for several days afterward.
And also, DRY. The weather pattern looks quite stable behind this front, dominated by high pressure for several days. I wouldn’t rule out some light showers sneaking in somewhere with a weak disturbance or passing front, but large-scale soaking storm systems look very unlikely until we get just past next Wednesday’s vernal equinox, the official start of spring on the calendar.
At Chateau Thompson, we need that dry week, if it comes, so we can add some gravel to the lower part of our driveway where puddles have not only formed but have stayed wet since sometime last fall.
We might able to plow the troublesome driveway too.
If current weather projections are true.